Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution threshold
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:18:17 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,684,959
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and McCartney Kessler in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Sabalenka vs. Kessler Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5 is currently at 50%, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear bias toward over or under. The outcome depends heavily on the playing styles and endurance of both players in the first set.
Sabalenka, known for her aggressive baseline play and powerful serve, could dominate the first set, leading to a higher game count (e.g., 9+ games). Kessler's defensive style may struggle to extend rallies, but Sabalenka's high-risk shots could result in more breaks and unforced errors, increasing total games.
Kessler's defensive resilience and consistency could lead to longer rallies and fewer breaks, keeping the game total under 9. Sabalenka's potential for early dominance (e.g., 6-1 scoreline) would also cap the total games. External factors like weather delays or tactical adjustments could further suppress the game count.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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