Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Cirstea's history of erratic performances and unforced errors
Calibrated 100% · raw 450% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 11:15:40 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
36%
ORYN Consensus
40%
Signal Score
+4.5
Opportunity
2.9
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskova
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,067,890
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 450.0¢
Entry: 32-38
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
13 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Sorana Cirstea and Linda Noskova in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sorana Cirstea' if Sorana Cirstea advances against Linda Noskova. This market will resolve to 'Linda Noskova' if Linda Noskova advances against Sorana Cirstea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Wimbledon first-round match between veteran Sorana Cirstea and rising star Linda Noskova. Noskova is favored at 62.5% due to youth, power, and upward trajectory, but Cirstea's experience and big serve make her a dangerous opponent.
Cirstea has the grass-court experience and ability to dictate points with her serve and forehand. She has upset higher-ranked players before and could exploit Noskova's occasional inconsistency in a high-pressure Grand Slam match.
Noskova's raw power and aggressive baseline game are well-suited to grass, and she has already proven herself at major tournaments. Cirstea's movement on grass has declined with age, and Noskova's superior athleticism should allow her to control rallies.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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