Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: her historical assist rate is well below 3.5
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/3/2026, 2:05:09 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 31% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
10%
ORYN Consensus
8%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
0.7
Graph Relationships
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Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.5
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,495,155
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -200.0¢
Entry: 7-13
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 2 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sonia Citron records more than 3.5 assists during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Sonia Citron records 3.5 assists or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official WNBA box score as published on WNBA.com.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Sonia Citron is not a primary facilitator, averaging well under 3.5 assists per game. The market probability of 10% reasonably reflects her low assist ceiling, though a matchup-dependent spike could occur.
If the game goes to overtime or features a fast pace where Citron handles increased playmaking duties, she could exceed her season assist average. A favorable defensive matchup or her stepping up in a star teammate's absence might push her assists above 3.5.
Citron consistently averages fewer than 2 assists per game and has not demonstrated the passing volume necessary to clear 3.5. Even in high-scoring games, her role is secondary, and she rarely reaches even 3 assists.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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