Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injuries to core players (e.g., Goldschmidt, Arenado)
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 9:31:03 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
47%
ORYN Consensus
45%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -200.0¢
Entry: 44-50
—
Resolution
38d
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve according to the team that records the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the longest winning streak, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more total wins during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team that has the better record against teams over .500. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the longest winning streak cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The St. Louis Cardinals have a 47% market probability of achieving the longest winning streak in the 2026 MLB regular season, reflecting moderate but not dominant expectations. This is influenced by historical performance, team roster potential, and league competition dynamics.
The Cardinals could secure the longest winning streak if key offensive players (e.g., Paul Goldschmidt, Nolan Arenado) maintain elite production and pitching depth (e.g., Sonny Gray, Jordan Montgomery) delivers consistent starts. A favorable divisional schedule and mid-season roster reinforcements may also enhance their chances.
The Cardinals face stiff competition from perennial contenders like the Braves, Dodgers, and Yankees, who may have stronger rosters or better injury luck. Pitching volatility or offensive slumps could derail their streak potential, especially in a 162-game season with high variance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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