Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Hypothermia and pressure-related fatalities in the submersible
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:50:35 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
+0.9
Opportunity
0.9
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
r3
correlates · strength 60%
r5
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 87.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
90 points
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The probability of the Titanic explorer crew and passengers being found safely by the end of the week is extremely low at 0.13%, reflecting near-certainty of an unfavorable outcome based on available data and historical context of deep-sea search operations.
A highly improbable but possible scenario where search teams locate the crew and passengers alive due to an unexpected surface escape or rapid rescue operation from a nearby vessel. This would require extraordinary circumstances, such as a malfunctioning submersible resurfacing autonomously or an immediate intervention by a passing ship with specialized equipment.
The overwhelmingly likely outcome is that the crew and passengers are not found alive, given the extreme depth (3,800m), limited oxygen supply in the submersible, and the historical difficulty of locating objects in such environments. Search efforts may recover debris or remains, but survival is implausible.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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