Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match being cancelled, postponed, or not aired
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:00:44 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
99%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -50.0¢
Entry: 96-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
10
Price history
5 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by any member of the official FOX broadcasting team during the English broadcast of the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, including any extra time or penalty shootout, if applicable. Pre-match and post-match commentary will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, the "FOX broadcasting team" refers to the officially assigned play-by-play announcer, match analyst, sideline reporter, and rules analyst assigned to this match by FOX Sports. Remarks made by other analysts, guest commentators, players, coaches, or any other individuals not part of the officially assigned broadcast team will not count toward resolution. If the Croatia vs Ghana match is definitively cancelled, postponed, or otherwise does not air by June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If this match is interrupted, abbreviated, or only partially aired, this market will resolve according to what has occurred up to that point. The resolution source for this market is the official English broadcast of the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX. Only remarks made live during the official broadcast will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market is highly confident (99.05%) that the term 'Pressure' will be mentioned by the FOX broadcasting team during the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup 2026 match. The resolution depends solely on live commentary during the match broadcast, with pre/post-match remarks excluded.
The term 'Pressure' is a common football lexicon, especially in high-stakes matches like the World Cup. Given the historical frequency of such terms in football commentary, the likelihood of it being mentioned during a live broadcast is extremely high. The match's competitive nature could further increase the probability of the term being used.
The match could be low-scoring or lack dramatic moments, reducing the need for commentators to use the term 'Pressure.' Technical issues or a broadcast team avoiding the term could also lead to a 'No' resolution. Additionally, if the match is abbreviated or interrupted, the term might not be mentioned during the aired portion.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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