Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Low global appeal due to cultural specificity or language limitations
Calibrated 100% · raw 225% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:32:08 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
3%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
+2.3
Opportunity
1.7
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,446,153
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 225.0¢
Entry: 0-6
—
Resolution
3d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
7 points
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market assigns a 5.3% probability that 'Survival of the Thickest: Season 3' will rank as the top global Netflix show for the week ending July 7, 2026. This reflects moderate skepticism given the show's niche appeal and competition from established global titles.
'Survival of the Thickest: Season 3' could achieve the top spot due to strong fan loyalty, viral social media buzz, or a strategic Netflix marketing push targeting its core demographic. Season 2's performance may have elevated its global visibility.
The show likely faces stiff competition from globally dominant titles like 'Stranger Things,' 'The Crown,' or new releases, given its English-only and niche genre constraints. Past rankings may not sustain sufficient weekly viewership.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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