Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Increased attacking pressure from top-tier opponents
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:00:45 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
24%
ORYN Consensus
26%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.4
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 21-27
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
5
Price history
3 points
This market will resolve to the team that records the most clean sheets through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the team that conceded the fewest total goals. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the team that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Spain has a 26% probability of recording the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting a moderate but not dominant expectation. Historical defensive consistency and tactical reputation support Spain's chances, though competition from traditional powerhouses and emerging defensive teams introduces uncertainty.
Spain's strong defensive record in recent tournaments (e.g., Euro 2020, World Cup 2022 qualifiers) and their possession-based, high-pressure style under current management reduces vulnerability to conceding goals. Their youth development system and tactical flexibility could yield a tournament with minimal defensive lapses.
Spain faces stiff competition from teams with historically solid defenses (e.g., Italy, France, Argentina) and emerging defensive powerhouses (e.g., Morocco, Japan). Injuries to key defensive players or tactical mismatches in knockout rounds could undermine their clean sheet potential.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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