This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Opendoor (OPEN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Key risk: High probability of delisting due to sustained negative equity
AI updated 6/26/2026, 10:47:17 PM
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Opendoor (OPEN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
-45.0
Opportunity
38.3
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Opendoor (OPEN) has a 50% probability of closing below $0 by the week of Jun 29–Jul 3, 2025, indicating high uncertainty. The binary outcome depends on extreme delisting risks or catastrophic financial events.
A bullish resolution would require Opendoor to avoid delisting and maintain a positive closing price, potentially driven by a last-minute capital infusion, regulatory relief, or a rebound in housing market conditions. However, this is statistically improbable given current trends.
The bear case hinges on Opendoor facing delisting, bankruptcy, or a forced liquidation event leading to a negative closing price. Given its persistent financial struggles and high debt burden, this scenario is plausible. Yahoo Finance historical data shows OPEN has not traded below $0 in over a decade.
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Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 5%.
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