Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or health concerns
AI updated 7/2/2026, 9:34:33 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,446,153
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
119d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve in favor of the listed date that LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market indicates a 50% probability that LeBron James will sign his next NBA contract on July 2, with no clear directional bias. The resolution hinges on official announcements or credible consensus by October 31, 2026.
LeBron James may prioritize early contract negotiations to secure a favorable deal before the free agency period, leveraging his market value and team interest. A strong 2025-26 season could incentivize both parties to finalize terms promptly.
LeBron's decision could be delayed by indecision, team roster uncertainties, or personal preferences favoring a later signing. Retirement speculation or injury risks may also push negotiations past July 2.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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