Key risk: Unexpected health complications
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:51:44 AM
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
99%
Signal Score
-0.9
Opportunity
0.9
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market overwhelmingly expects Jimmy Carter to remain alive through May 2024, with a 99.93% probability. This reflects his advanced age (99) and current health status, though no guarantees exist.
Jimmy Carter's longevity is historically notable, with his family and medical team providing consistent updates on his stable condition. His resilience and the absence of recent critical health reports support the high probability.
At 99 years old, Jimmy Carter's health is fragile, and sudden declines are possible. Historical precedents of rapid health deterioration in the elderly introduce non-trivial risk, despite the current odds.
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Will Jimmy Carter still be alive by the end of May? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from manifold. Current market-implied probability is 99.9% while ORYN AI estimates 99%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
