Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected injuries or burnout
Calibrated 100% · raw 150% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:00:22 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
47%
ORYN Consensus
45%
Signal Score
-1.5
Opportunity
1.1
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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Eva Lys' Wimbledon performance is independent of @firstuserhere's step count
correlates · strength 60%
Global temperature records do not impact individual tennis player performances
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Tennis Grand Slam outcomes are unrelated to FIFA World Cup results
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,117,950
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -150.0¢
Entry: 44-50
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals in the Championships at Wimbledon per Wimbledon rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals in the Championships at Wimbledon (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, postponed after July 26, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by Wimbledon within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Eva Lys has a 46.50% chance to advance to the Quarterfinals at Wimbledon 2026, reflecting moderate uncertainty in her performance trajectory. The market suggests a near-even split between bullish and bearish outcomes, with no dominant consensus.
Eva Lys has shown consistent top-50 rankings and clay-court proficiency, which could translate to strong grass-court performance in 2026. If she maintains form and avoids early upsets, her athleticism and baseline game may secure a quarterfinal berth.
Injury risks or inconsistent form in the lead-up to Wimbledon 2026 could derail Lys's campaign. A tough early draw or loss to a seeded opponent in the first two rounds would likely eliminate her from contention.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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