This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Cape Verde is eliminated. If Cape Verde wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Cape Verde is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Cape Verde based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key risk: Potential upsets by higher-ranked opponents in the Round of 32
AI updated 6/26/2026, 3:37:16 PM
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Cape Verde is eliminated. If Cape Verde wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Cape Verde is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Cape Verde based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd Consensus
57%
ORYN Consensus
57%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market indicates a 57% chance that Cape Verde will be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. This reflects moderate uncertainty about Cape Verde's ability to advance beyond the initial knockout stage.
Cape Verde could defy expectations by advancing past the Round of 32, leveraging strong team dynamics, strategic gameplay, or favorable draw conditions. Historical underdog performances in recent tournaments (e.g., Morocco in 2022) suggest potential for progression.
Cape Verde may struggle against stronger opponents in the Round of 32, facing challenges like limited squad depth, tactical disadvantages, or high-pressure scenarios. Their recent FIFA rankings (120th as of June 2024) and lack of recent World Cup experience increase elimination risk.
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Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 57% while ORYN AI estimates 57%.
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