Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Episode release delay or cancellation
Calibrated 100% · raw 3900% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 2:45:47 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
52%
ORYN Consensus
13%
Signal Score
-39.0
Opportunity
29.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -3900.0¢
Entry: 48-55
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
10
Price history
34 points
Episode 6 of Rick and Morty Season 9 is scheduled to air on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Rick and Morty. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If this episode of Rick and Morty has not been released in its entirety by June 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Rick and Morty. Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market assesses the likelihood of the term 'Password' being spoken in Rick and Morty Season 9 Episode 6, with a current probability of 12.5%. The outcome hinges on dialogue patterns in the episode, given the show's history of meta-humor and absurdity, but the term's specificity reduces the base probability.
The show's writers frequently employ meta-humor and pop-culture references, increasing the chance of an unexpected term like 'Password' being included as a joke or Easter egg. The episode's plot may involve hacking or security themes, necessitating the term's use.
The term 'Password' is niche and lacks thematic relevance to typical Rick and Morty plotlines, which focus more on sci-fi absurdity, interdimensional travel, or existential crises. Previous episodes rarely use such mundane terms, suggesting low likelihood.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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