Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: lack of prior context or leaks about the episode's content
Calibrated 100% · raw 4250% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 11:00:59 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
6%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
+42.5
Opportunity
27.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4250.0¢
Entry: 2-8
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
6
Price history
90 points
Episode 6 of Rick and Morty Season 9 is scheduled to air on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Rick and Morty. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If this episode of Rick and Morty has not been released in its entirety by June 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Rick and Morty. Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market on whether 'Horse' will be said in *Rick and Morty* S9E6 has a near-even probability (47.5%) of resolution, reflecting low predictability due to the episode's speculative nature and lack of prior context. The market's resolution hinges on a single term's inclusion in a specific episode, making it highly sensitive to creator intent and writing patterns.
The term 'Horse' could appear due to Rick and Morty's tendency for absurd, off-the-cuff dialogue involving random or humorous references. Prior seasons occasionally include animal-related terms or puns, increasing the likelihood of an unscripted mention. The show's writers may include the word as a subtle callback or Easter egg, especially if the episode involves sci-fi or fantasy elements where horses could metaphorically appear.
The term 'Horse' is unlikely to be included, as the episode's script is likely finalized and vetted for such random inclusions. The show's writers typically avoid gratuitous animal terms unless central to the plot, and the term's inclusion would require deliberate scripting for minimal comedic payoff. Given the episode's release date (June 28, 2026) is far in the future, any leaks or script changes could further reduce the probability.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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