Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or unexpected career change
Calibrated 100% · raw 195% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/3/2026, 3:01:14 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 31% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
2%
ORYN Consensus
4%
Signal Score
+1.9
Opportunity
1.6
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Anfernee Simons career trajectory
correlates · strength 60%
Orlando Magic season performance
correlates · strength 60%
NBA player transactions
correlates · strength 60%
Professional sports team rosters
correlates · strength 60%
Sports contract negotiations
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,495,155
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 195.0¢
Entry: 0-5
—
Resolution
119d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
8 points
This market will resolve to the next team Anfernee Simons officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Anfernee Simons does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If Anfernee Simons joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Anfernee Simons is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Anfernee Simons is unlikely to play for the Orlando Magic in the 2026-27 season. The current market probability is 3.60%, indicating a low chance of this event occurring. The market will resolve to the next team Simons officially joins by October 31, 2026.
Anfernee Simons surprisingly signs with the Orlando Magic before October 31, 2026. This could happen if the Magic aggressively pursue him and offer a compelling contract. Simons might be attracted to the Magic's young core and potential for growth.
Anfernee Simons does not join the Orlando Magic by October 31, 2026. He might re-sign with his current team, the Portland Trail Blazers, or join another NBA team. Simons could also consider options outside the NBA, or his contract situation might not align with the Magic's expectations.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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