Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay leading to a 50-50 resolution
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:46:26 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
35%
ORYN Consensus
34%
Signal Score
-1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -100.0¢
Entry: 31-38
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
14 points
This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between UCAM Esports Club and FOKUS in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C, initially scheduled for June 29 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS wins 2 or more maps than UCAM Esports Club in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "UCAM Esports Club". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for FOKUS (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5) in the Valorant VCL EMEA Stage 3 Group C Decider match shows a 33.50% probability favoring FOKUS to win by at least 2 maps. The market reflects a cautious outlook, likely due to UCAM Esports Club's recent performances and FOKUS's inconsistent form.
FOKUS could outperform expectations by leveraging their stronger early-game strategies and map control, particularly on defense. A dominant series win (e.g., 3-0 or 2-0 with a map deficit) would validate the market's low probability. UCAM Esports Club's potential fatigue from a grueling tournament schedule might also play into FOKUS's favor.
UCAM Esports Club's recent upsets against higher-seeded teams suggest they may exceed their current handicap. Their adaptability and clutch performances in high-pressure matches could lead to a 2-1 or 3-1 victory, flipping the market. FOKUS's inconsistent map wins and late-game vulnerabilities are additional risks.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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