Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days
Calibrated 100% · raw 5195% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:45:25 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+52.0
Opportunity
18.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 5195.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
5
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between UCAM Esports Club and FOKUS in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C, initially scheduled for June 29 at 12:45PM ET. This market will resolve to "UCAM Esports Club" if UCAM Esports Club wins 2 or more maps than FOKUS in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FOKUS". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors UCAM Esports Club (-1.5) over FOKUS (+1.5) in the Valorant Decider match, reflecting a slight underdog bias toward UCAM despite the handicap. The low market probability (0.05%) suggests extreme uncertainty or lack of liquidity.
UCAM Esports Club could outperform expectations by winning 2+ maps, leveraging strong team synergy, recent form, or FOKUS's potential weaknesses in map control or clutch situations. A forfeit or disqualification by FOKUS would also resolve the market in UCAM's favor.
FOKUS (+1.5) may overcome the handicap if UCAM underperforms, suffers from in-game coordination issues, or if FOKUS's strategic adjustments neutralize UCAM's advantages. A match cancellation, tie, or incomplete match without a clear forfeit would default to 50-50 resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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