Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Missing direct Map 2 score data means the quoted market may rely on information not visible in the supplied content
Calibrated 100% · raw 895% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/3/2026, 3:46:27 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
99%
ORYN Consensus
90%
Signal Score
-8.9
Opportunity
5.6
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
No meaningful thematic or causal relationship: the LYON vs Contra Map 2 rounds handicap market is an esports match-prop, while the listed related markets concern geopolitics, shipping chokepoints, crude oil prices, platform user growth, and Russian leadership.
correlates · strength 60%
At most, all are structurally prediction markets with binary/resolution-based outcomes, but they do not share a substantive domain driver, common underlying variable, or obvious hedging/correlation theme.
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,180,407
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -895.0¢
Entry: 96-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between LYON and Contra in the VCL Latin America North: Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 2 at 9:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON wins Map 2 by 5 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. LYON's round total on Map 2 exceeds Contra's by 5 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Contra". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market pricing at 98.95% implies LYON is overwhelmingly likely to cover a -4.5 round handicap on Map 2, which is a very aggressive line for a single-map round spread. The supplied VLR content confirms the match is live at 1-1, but it does not provide Map 2 score, veto context, or team-level map differential evidence strong enough on its own to justify near-certainty.
If LYON is the materially stronger side and Map 2 lands on one of its preferred maps, a 13-7, 13-6, or similar result clears the handicap comfortably. The market may also be reacting to live information not present in the excerpt, such as Map 1 form, side selection, or roster strength that points to a lopsided second map.
A -4.5 handicap on a single Valorant map is inherently fragile because even favored teams often concede enough rounds to finish 13-9 or 13-10, which would lose this market. The evidence provided from VLR only confirms the series is competitive at 1-1, and without direct Map 2 data, a 98.95% price looks vulnerable to overconfidence.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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