Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Last-minute roster changes affecting team cohesion
Calibrated 100% · raw 2915% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/3/2026, 2:18:54 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 29% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
99%
ORYN Consensus
70%
Signal Score
-29.1
Opportunity
21.9
Graph Relationships
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Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,163,435
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -2915.0¢
Entry: 96-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
6 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between LYON and Contra in the VCL Latin America North: Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 2 at 9:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 1 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 1, including any overtime, is greater than 19.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 19.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 19.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This market predicts whether the total rounds on Map 1 between LYON and Contra will exceed 19.5. At 75.5% probability of 'Over,' the market expects a competitive map likely extending past the standard regulation. Valorant's first-to-13 format makes 19.5 a mid-high threshold, favoring close matches or overtime.
Both teams are evenly matched in the VCL playoffs, increasing the likelihood of a back-and-forth map. Overtime scenarios can push round counts well above 20, and statistical models for similar-tier matches show a majority of maps exceeding 19.5 rounds.
One team could dominate with a strong attack or defensive half, ending the map quickly at 13-5 or similar. Patch or meta shifts might favor decisive strategies, reducing total rounds. A blowout in either direction would keep the total under 19.5.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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