Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 2 not played to completion leading to 50-50 resolution
AI updated 7/2/2026, 10:53:27 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 31% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,486,298
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
6h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between Karmine Corp and Paper Rex in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 4 at 9:45AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 2 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 2, including any overtime, is greater than 20.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 20.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 20.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This prediction market on Valorant's Esports World Cup Group B match between Karmine Corp and Paper Rex focuses on whether total rounds in Map 2 exceed 20.5. At 50%, the market reflects a balanced view between a close, extended map and a one-sided blowout. The outcome hinges on map balance, team form, and whether the map is completed without forfeits or delays.
Both teams are competitively matched, increasing the likelihood of a close map that pushes beyond 20.5 rounds. Paper Rex's aggressive playstyle often leads to overtime or high-scoring maps, while Karmine Corp has demonstrated resilience in recent matches.
One team may dominate on their favored map, leading to a quick, lopsided scoreline (e.g., 13-5 or 13-6). If either team has a strong map pick or if momentum from Map 1 carries over, the round total could stay under 20.5.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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