Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or forfeit leading to 50-50 resolution
AI updated 7/3/2026, 1:47:28 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,505,203
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 5.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
7 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between Fuego and STREAMER ARENA in the VCL Latin America North: Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 2 at 6:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 21.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 21.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 21.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This market bets on whether total rounds in Map 3 of the VCL North America Playoffs match between Fuego and STREAMER ARENA will exceed 21.5. At 50.5%, the market implies near-perfect uncertainty, reflecting a typical competitive Valorant map where round totals often cluster around the threshold. Outcome hinges on map competitiveness and potential overtime.
Playoff matches tend to be closely contested, especially a decisive Map 3, increasing the likelihood of a tight scoreline (e.g., 13-11, 13-10) that pushes the total above 21.5. Overtime, which guarantees at least 25 rounds, would easily clear the threshold. Recent form and map vetoes may favor longer rounds.
One team could dominate Map 3 due to a significant skill gap or momentum from earlier maps, leading to a lopsided score (e.g., 13-6, 13-7) well under 21.5. Lower-tier matches often feature inconsistency, and playoff pressure might cause mistakes that shorten rounds. Map 3 could also be a one-sided stomp if the series is already decided.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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