Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 1 being decided by narrow margin (e.g., 13-10)
Calibrated 100% · raw 2500% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/3/2026, 1:22:43 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
75%
Signal Score
+25.0
Opportunity
16.3
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
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Fuego's performance is positively related to Manifold.love's daily active users
correlates · strength 60%
Fuego's performance is inversely related to STREAMER ARENA's performance
correlates · strength 60%
Fuego's performance is positively related to Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal
correlates · strength 60%
Fuego's performance is negatively related to Putin's presidency end date
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,069,289
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 2500.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
10 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between Fuego and STREAMER ARENA in the VCL Latin America North: Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 2 at 6:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Fuego" if Fuego wins Map 1 by 3 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Fuego's round total on Map 1 exceeds STREAMER ARENA's by 3 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "STREAMER ARENA". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Fuego is heavily favored to cover a -2.5 round handicap on Map 1 against STREAMER ARENA in the VCL Latin America North playoffs. The market reflects Fuego's stronger regular-season performance and perceived skill advantage. However, esports variables like map vetoes and day-of performance introduce uncertainty.
Fuego has consistently outperformed STREAMER ARENA throughout the season, often winning maps by decisive margins. Their map pool and tactical discipline are superior, making a 3+ round win on Map 1 highly probable.
STREAMER ARENA could narrow the score through a strong defensive half or adapt quickly to Fuego's strategy. Handicap markets are sensitive to close maps; a 13-11 result would fail to cover. The volatility of elimination matches also raises upset potential.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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