Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected roster changes or player absences due to health or scheduling conflicts
AI updated 6/30/2026, 4:00:32 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
5
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between EDward Gaming and BBL Esports in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 2 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BBL Esports" if BBL Esports wins 2 or more maps than EDward Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "EDward Gaming". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for BBL Esports (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) in the Valorant Esports World Cup Group A match is evenly split at 50%, reflecting balanced expectations for a close outcome. The handicap implies slight favoritism toward BBL Esports, but the margin is narrow, indicating uncertainty.
BBL Esports could outperform expectations by winning by a larger margin than the handicap suggests, particularly if they leverage home advantage or EDward Gaming's potential fatigue from prior matches. Strong individual player performances or strategic adjustments may tilt the odds in their favor.
EDward Gaming may exceed the handicap by winning by 2 or more maps, capitalizing on their higher global ranking and deeper tournament experience. A dominant performance or BBL's potential underestimation of EDG's adaptability could shift the resolution toward the bear case.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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