Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Risk of match not being played to completion (forfeit, disqualification, or technical failure)
AI updated 7/2/2026, 2:31:21 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between EDward Gaming and BBL Esports in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 2 at 7:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 16.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 16.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 16.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Map 3 total rounds Over/Under 16.5 in the EDward Gaming vs. BBL Esports Valorant match is currently at a 50% probability, indicating a neutral outlook with no clear bias toward over or under in the total rounds played.
A bullish scenario would involve high-intensity gameplay with frequent eliminations, leading to a higher round count (20+ rounds). This could occur if both teams play aggressively, with minimal timeouts and a balanced competitive dynamic, increasing the likelihood of overtime rounds.
A bearish scenario would involve quick eliminations or one-sided dominance, resulting in fewer rounds (13 or less). This could happen if either team secures a significant early lead, leading to rapid map completion, or if the match is decided by a forfeit or technical issue before completion.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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