Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match delays or cancellations invalidating the market
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:02:44 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,128,612
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between EDward Gaming and BBL Esports in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 2 at 7:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming wins Map 3 by 3 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. EDward Gaming's round total on Map 3 exceeds BBL Esports's by 3 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BBL Esports". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 50% chance EDward Gaming will win Map 3 by 3+ rounds against BBL Esports, reflecting high uncertainty due to the handicap's strict resolution criteria and potential for non-resolution.
EDward Gaming's historical dominance in Valorant tournaments and strong early-game performance could enable them to secure a 3+ round victory in Map 3, validating the market's current odds.
BBL Esports's resilience in close matches and potential for overtime scenarios reduces the likelihood of EDward Gaming achieving a 3+ round margin, favoring the bear case resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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