Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 3 not played to completion (forfeit, disqualification, or cancellation)
AI updated 7/2/2026, 2:31:38 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between BBL Esports and EDward Gaming in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 2 at 7:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "BBL Esports" if BBL Esports wins Map 3 by 10 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. BBL Esports's round total on Map 3 exceeds EDward Gaming's by 10 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "EDward Gaming". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Map 3 handicap (BBL Esports -9.5 vs EDward Gaming +9.5) is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to the strict resolution criteria requiring a 10+ round differential. The outcome hinges entirely on Map 3's round score, independent of match or series results.
BBL Esports wins the handicap if they dominate Map 3 by 10+ rounds, which could occur if they exploit EDward Gaming's early weaknesses, leverage superior map control, or capitalize on opponent fatigue. A strong opening phase or strategic adjustments could tilt the odds in BBL's favor.
EDward Gaming wins the handicap unless BBL Esports secures a 10+ round lead on Map 3, which is unlikely given EDward Gaming's reputation for late-game resilience and clutch performances. Even if BBL wins the map, a narrow margin would fail to meet the threshold.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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