Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Non-standard resolution (forfeit, disqualification, or walkover)
AI updated 7/2/2026, 2:16:47 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between EDward Gaming and BBL Esports in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 2 at 7:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 2 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 2, including any overtime, is greater than 17.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 17.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 17.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Map 2 total rounds Over/Under 17.5 in the EDward Gaming vs. BBL Esports Valorant match is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to the binary resolution conditions and potential for non-standard outcomes.
A bullish outcome (Over 17.5 rounds) is plausible if the match is highly competitive, with both teams trading rounds frequently in a back-and-forth dynamic. Overtime scenarios or prolonged rounds due to tactical play could also push the total above 17.5.
A bearish outcome (Under 17.5 rounds) may occur if one team dominates early, leading to a swift victory with minimal round exchanges. Alternatively, technical issues, early forfeits, or non-standard resolution methods could artificially cap the total rounds.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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