Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match disruption (forfeit, disqualification, or delays)
AI updated 7/2/2026, 12:02:02 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between BBL Esports and EDward Gaming in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 2 at 7:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "BBL Esports" if BBL Esports wins Map 1 by 5 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. BBL Esports's round total on Map 1 exceeds EDward Gaming's by 5 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "EDward Gaming". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a 50% probability that BBL Esports will win Map 1 of their Valorant match against EDward Gaming by a margin of 5 or more rounds. The handicap (-4.5) suggests a close but not decisive advantage for BBL Esports in this specific market.
BBL Esports could dominate early rounds, leveraging strong agent picks (e.g., aggressive initiators like Sova or Jett) and map control to secure a 5+ round lead. A high-impact strategy or early-game momentum could push their round total beyond the handicap threshold.
EDward Gaming may counter BBL Esports's strategies with superior team coordination or late-round heroics, preventing a 5+ round deficit. Map dynamics (e.g., Ascent's bombsite A advantage) or BBL's inconsistency could lead to a narrow or overtime loss.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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