Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_forfeits_or_walkovers
Calibrated 100% · raw 4950% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 12:00:33 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+49.5
Opportunity
32.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4950.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
8
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant Round 6 match between Division One and Pigeons in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 26 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Division One and Pigeons play 3 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 50% probability that the Valorant Round 6 match between Division One and Pigeons will result in 3 or more maps played. The outcome hinges on match completion criteria, with resolution rules favoring forfeits or walkovers as completed matches.
Division One and Pigeons are evenly matched, leading to a competitive series requiring a full 3-map resolution. High player engagement and potential tiebreakers could push the total to 'Over 2.5'. Historical data suggests most Valorant matches in this stage complete all maps.
Either team dominates early, forcing a quick series conclusion with fewer than 3 maps played. Technical issues, player unavailability, or one-sided gameplay could lead to an 'Under 2.5' outcome. Forfeits or walkovers without full map resolution may also skew results.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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