Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected player absences or roster changes
AI updated 7/1/2026, 2:33:33 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Weibo Gaming and Soul's Heart Esport in the Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 7 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Weibo Gaming and Soul's Heart Esport play 3 or more games in this series. If fewer than 3 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Games Total: O/U 2.5' in the Rainbow Six Siege Upper bracket semifinal between Weibo Gaming and Soul's Heart Esport is evenly split, with a 50% probability. The outcome hinges on whether the series will exceed 2.5 games (3+ games) or conclude in fewer than 3 games.
The bull case assumes a competitive match where both teams win at least one map, leading to a full best-of-3 or extended series (e.g., due to overtime or tiebreakers). Historical data suggests Rainbow Six Siege matches often go to multiple games, increasing the likelihood of 'Over 2.5'.
The bear case posits a swift series resolution, such as a dominant team winning two consecutive games, resulting in fewer than 3 total games. Forfeits, walkovers, or early clinches could also skew the total downward. Low-scoring or one-sided matches historically favor 'Under 2.5'.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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