This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Key risk: Earnings miss or guidance downgrade
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:38:23 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Crowd Consensus
25%
ORYN Consensus
85%
Signal Score
+60.5
Opportunity
45.4
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for NVIDIA (NVDA) closing above $195 by June 22 shows a 40.1% probability, indicating bearish sentiment. Technical resistance and recent volatility in AI-related stocks contribute to this outlook.
NVIDIA could surpass $195 if strong earnings guidance or AI demand growth triggers a momentum rally. Positive macroeconomic data or a broader tech sector rebound may also push prices higher. Historical trends suggest potential for short-term spikes.
NVIDIA may fail to close above $195 due to profit-taking after recent gains or regulatory concerns around AI monopolies. A broader market correction or weak earnings outlook could weigh on the stock. Technical resistance at $195 remains a key hurdle.
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Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 22 above $195? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 24.5% while ORYN AI estimates 85%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
