Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Weather postponement risk
Calibrated 100% · raw 900% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 10:18:07 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 31% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
56%
ORYN Consensus
65%
Signal Score
+9.0
Opportunity
3.1
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
No shared risk factors
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,452,467
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 900.0¢
Entry: 52-59
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
23 points
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 5 at 12:30AM ET: If the Chunichi Dragons win, the market will resolve to "Chunichi Dragons". If the Yomiuri Giants win, the market will resolve to "Yomiuri Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market implies a 64.5% probability that the Chunichi Dragons defeat the Yomiuri Giants in their July 5 NPB game. This is a strong favorite for a single baseball contest, suggesting significant perceived advantage, but such high probabilities often overstate certainty in baseball due to high variance.
The Dragons may have a decisive starting pitcher advantage or recent strong form. Home field and favorable matchup data could justify the market's confidence. Public sentiment might be aligned with solid fundamentals.
Yomiuri Giants have historically been a dominant franchise, and 64.5% is atypically high for one game. This could reflect overreaction to recent performance or public bias, offering value on the Giants. Randomness in baseball hurts extreme probabilities.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
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