Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement or cancellation
Calibrated 100% · raw 495% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:45:21 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
+5.0
Opportunity
4.9
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,280,704
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 495.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for June 28 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a negligible 0.05% chance that the Washington Nationals will win by 4+ runs against the Baltimore Orioles on June 28. The outcome heavily favors the Orioles due to the low probability and typical MLB game dynamics.
The Nationals could exceed expectations if their bullpen performs exceptionally, their starting pitcher dominates the Orioles' lineup, or the Orioles' offense struggles significantly. A rare offensive explosion (e.g., 10+ runs) could also sway the market.
The Nationals are unlikely to cover the -3.5 spread due to historical performance trends, pitcher injuries, or key player absences. The Orioles' strong offense or a home-field advantage could further suppress the Nationals' chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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