Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game nearly a month away; no starting pitchers known yet
AI updated 7/2/2026, 11:03:18 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 31% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,454,234
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
HIGH
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 3 at 10:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Blue Jays vs. Mariners O/U 7.5 is perfectly balanced at 50%, reflecting uncertainty around a game nearly a month away. With both teams having middling offenses and no clear pitcher matchup announced, the market sees equal chances. The binary nature of over/under bets and lack of key information drive the 50% probability.
Both ballparks (Rogers Centre and T-Mobile Park) are neutral to slightly pitcher-friendly, and starting pitchers often dominate early-season matchups. If either team sends a top-tier starter, scoring could be suppressed, favoring Under. Recent trends show both teams' offenses have struggled against good pitching, and the 7.5 line is low, indicating bookmakers expect a relatively low-scoring game.
The 50% price suggests no edge, but Over bets have value if the game features weaker pitchers or if weather conditions favor offense (e.g., warm summer night). Bullpens are unreliable, and late-inning scoring could push total over. If both teams score 4+ runs each, Over is likely. The line of 7.5 is historically around MLB average, so 8+ runs is plausible.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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