Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Inherent randomness of baseball game outcomes
AI updated 7/3/2026, 2:07:07 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,067,890
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 2 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This market is a binary option on whether the Tampa Bay Rays will beat the Kansas City Royals by 4 or more runs. The even 50% probability reflects a balanced market, with the spread being a significant margin. Outcome depends heavily on starting pitching, offensive performance, and game-day factors.
The Rays have a stronger roster and deeper lineup, capable of scoring in bunches against a weaker Royals pitching staff. If their starter goes deep and the offense clicks early, they can easily cover the -3.5 spread.
A 4-run win is a large margin in MLB; the Royals can keep the game close with solid pitching or timely hitting. The Rays may also take their foot off the gas if they build an early lead, resulting in a closer final score.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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