Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation due to weather or unforeseen events
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:18:52 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
None directly related
correlates · strength 60%
Indirect relationship with Crude Oil (CL) prices potentially affecting travel and shipping, including the Kansas City Royals' travel schedule, but this is highly speculative and not a direct market relationship
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,116,166
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
23h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for July 1 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Tampa Bay Rays and Kansas City Royals combine to score 4 or more runs by the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 is currently at 50%, indicating a balanced expectation between over and under outcomes. The neutral probability reflects the uncertainty in early-game scoring dynamics between these two teams.
The Rays have a strong offensive lineup with high on-base and power potential, while the Royals' pitching staff has shown inconsistencies this season. Early-game scoring could favor Tampa Bay, especially if they leverage their speed and plate discipline against Kansas City's rotation.
The Royals' bullpen has been more reliable than their rotation, and the Rays' offense may struggle against left-handed pitching if the Royals start a southpaw. Additionally, both teams have shown tendencies to play small-ball, which could suppress early runs.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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