Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Weather delays or postponement altering market resolution
Calibrated 100% · raw 500% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/3/2026, 1:54:18 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
45%
Signal Score
-5.0
Opportunity
2.8
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,069,289
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -500.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
17h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Houston Astros, scheduled for July 3 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros is winning the game by 3 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This market bets on whether the Houston Astros will lead by 3+ runs after 5 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays. At 50%, the market is priced evenly, reflecting high uncertainty about the large spread over a short game segment.
The Astros have a potent lineup and strong starting pitching, making early scoring likely. If their starter dominates and the offense capitalizes, a 3+ run lead by the 5th is achievable, especially at home.
The Rays regularly deploy effective pitching strategies that keep games tight, and a 2.5-run spread is large for 5 innings. Even a slight Astros advantage is unlikely to cover this margin, and a tie or small lead favors Tampa Bay.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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