Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Game postponement or cancellation (50-50 resolution)
AI updated 7/3/2026, 1:55:25 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 31% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5 is related to markets with similar themes of sports, competition, and under/over expectations, such as Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?, which also deals with the concept of 'normal' or 'average' in a specific context, and Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?, which involves the idea of 'under' or 'below' expectations. Additionally, the theme of competition and under/over expectations is also present in Will Manifold.love reach 1000 daily active users (7d average) by Feb 14, 2024?, as it involves reaching a specific target or goal, and the theme of unpredictability is present in Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?, as it involves the possibility of an unexpected event. The theme of high-stakes competition is also present in Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?, as it involves a specific goal or target being met, and the theme of under/over expectations is also present in this market, as it involves the concept of 'exceeding' or 'falling short' of expectations.
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,453,749
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 2 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta Braves combine to score 12 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 12, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This prediction market concerns whether the total runs scored in the MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Atlanta Braves on July 2 will exceed 11.5. At a 50% probability, the market is perfectly balanced, reflecting uncertainty about offensive output and pitching matchups.
Both teams possess strong lineups capable of scoring heavily, especially if the starting pitchers are weak or the game is played in a hitter-friendly ballpark. Recent offensive trends or weather conditions favoring batters could push the total over 11.5.
An over/under of 11.5 is high by MLB standards, and pitching staffs on both sides may be strong enough to keep scoring moderate. Defensive shifts, bullpen effectiveness, or a pitcher-friendly stadium could suppress run totals below the threshold.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
