Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Postponement or cancellation risk
AI updated 7/1/2026, 2:45:24 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
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Arizona Diamondbacks game outcome is unrelated to geopolitical events like Strait of Hormuz traffic or Putin's presidency
correlates · strength 60%
Arizona Diamondbacks game outcome is unrelated to tech startup metrics like Manifold.love daily active users
correlates · strength 60%
Arizona Diamondbacks game outcome is unrelated to crude oil prices or shipping traffic
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,230,822
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for June 30 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game by 7 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Arizona Diamondbacks (-6.5) has a 50% probability of winning by 7+ runs against the San Francisco Giants. The neutral starting position reflects balanced expectations between the two teams.
Arizona Diamondbacks could cover the spread if they dominate offensively or defensively, particularly if key players perform exceptionally well or the Giants struggle with pitching. A strong home-field advantage or favorable weather conditions may also favor the Diamondbacks.
The San Francisco Giants could cover the spread if they perform well against Arizona's pitching or exploit defensive weaknesses. A strong Giants offense or late-game comebacks may push the market toward the Giants.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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