Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Weather delays or cancellations
AI updated 7/3/2026, 2:06:43 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 29% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
24%
ORYN Consensus
25%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
Sports betting vs. geopolitical events
correlates · strength 60%
Short-term vs. long-term
correlates · strength 60%
Disparate domains
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,163,470
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 21-27
—
Resolution
11h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
12 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 3 at 6:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates is winning the game by 2 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This market bets on whether the Pittsburgh Pirates will lead by 2 or more runs after 5 innings against the Washington Nationals on July 3. The low 24.5% probability reflects the difficulty of covering a -1.5 spread in just half a game. Payouts are tied to the outcome after five complete innings.
If the Pirates' starter pitches effectively against a weak Nationals lineup, they could build an early lead. Strong offensive output in the first few innings might cover the spread quickly.
First 5-inning spreads are historically hard to cover, especially for a team like the Pirates that may struggle offensively. The Nationals have competent pitching that could keep the game close, preventing a 2-run lead.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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