Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Edwards' participation uncertainty (listed as inactive or pinch-hit role)
AI updated 7/1/2026, 7:00:36 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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Domain Irrelevance: The markets span entirely disparate domains (sports performance vs. geopolitics, commodities, and tech growth), precluding direct or indirect predictive relationships.
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Lack of Causal or Correlative Linkage: There are no identifiable shared underlying drivers or mechanisms by which the outcome of Xavier Edwards' home runs would influence or be influenced by the outcomes of the other listed markets.
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,294,252
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
14h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for July 1 at 8:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Xavier Edwards records more than 0.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Xavier Edwards records less than 0.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Xavier Edwards recording over 0.5 home runs in the upcoming Marlins vs. Rockies game is balanced, with no clear directional bias. The probability reflects an even chance given the player's limited power profile and the uncertainty of his participation.
Edwards, a speed-focused utility player, could hit a home run due to atypical power displays in rare matchups or defensive oversights by the Rockies. A favorable count or high-leverage situation could also increase his home run odds.
Edwards has never recorded more than 0.5 home runs in a single MLB game in his career, and his career HR/AB rate is extremely low (0.012). The Rockies' pitching staff is strong, further reducing his home run probability.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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