Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: No pitcher-specific input materially lowers forecast precision
Calibrated 100% · raw 4865% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/3/2026, 3:39:27 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 29% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
49%
Signal Score
+48.6
Opportunity
26.8
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Relationship to 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?' is effectively none; political leadership risk in Russia has no direct bearing on a single MLB over/under market.
correlates · strength 60%
Relationship to Strait of Hormuz traffic markets is weak; shipping volumes or normalization do not provide actionable signal for baseball scoring totals.
correlates · strength 60%
No strong thematic or causal relationship: MLB game total runs market is largely independent of geopolitics, shipping, app user growth, and oil price markets.
correlates · strength 60%
Possible indirect macro link only with oil/Hormuz markets: major energy or geopolitical shocks could affect broad market sentiment or travel/logistics, but they do not materially determine the Angels vs. Mariners O/U 8.5 outcome.
correlates · strength 60%
Relationship to 'Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?' is weak and non-predictive; both are event markets but driven by unrelated variables.
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,162,740
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4865.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 2 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
A total of 8.5 with the market at 50% suggests a finely balanced scoring environment, likely reflecting middling run expectations rather than a strong edge to either side. With no listed pitcher, the most important determinants are starting arms, bullpen freshness, and run environment at game time, so the current number looks efficient absent late lineup or weather information.
The Over has a credible path if either starter is vulnerable to hard contact or short outings, forcing early bullpen usage and exposing weaker middle relief. Both clubs can generate runs through home-run variance, and once a total sits at 8.5, one crooked inning or late bullpen leakage can push the game to 9+.
The Under is supported if Seattle's pitching plan features a competent starter working deep enough to suppress the Angels, while the Mariners' own offense remains inconsistent enough to strand runners. If both starters avoid free passes and keep the ball in the park, 8.5 is high enough that a 4-3, 5-3, or 5-2 type outcome becomes quite plausible.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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