Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Skubal's injury status or late roster changes
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:03:51 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 46% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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Diversity of Market Categories: The markets represent distinct domains (sports, geopolitics, commodities, technology), indicating the broad scope of topics covered by prediction markets.
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Disparate Forecasting Methodologies: Each market necessitates unique analytical frameworks and data sources (e.g., sports analytics for Tarik Skubal, geopolitical analysis for Russia/Strait of Hormuz, economic modeling for crude oil, user growth metrics for Manifold.love).
correlates · strength 60%
Absence of Direct Causal or Correlational Link: There is no discernible direct predictive relationship between a baseball pitcher's performance and global geopolitical events, commodity prices, or technology platform user growth.
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,834,930
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 100.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees, scheduled for June 30 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Tarik Skubal records more than 6.5 strikeouts during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Tarik Skubal records less than 6.5 strikeouts during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Tarik Skubal's strikeouts O/U 6.5 in the upcoming MLB game is evenly balanced at 50.00%, reflecting uncertainty about his performance against the Yankees. Historical data and matchup dynamics provide limited clarity due to Skubal's recent form and the Yankees' offensive lineup.
Skubal has demonstrated strong strikeout ability in recent starts, averaging over 10 strikeouts per 9 innings in the 2024 season. The Yankees' lineup, while potent, has struggled against left-handed pitchers this year, potentially reducing their effectiveness against Skubal. If Skubal's velocity and command remain consistent, exceeding 6.5 strikeouts is plausible.
Skubal's strikeout rates have dipped slightly in the last month, with two of his last five starts yielding fewer than 6 strikeouts. The Yankees rank among the top MLB teams in runs scored and on-base percentage, increasing the likelihood of contact-heavy at-bats. Fatigue or pitch sequencing issues could further suppress his strikeout potential.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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