Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential for a close series or upset victory by Karmine Corp
Calibrated 100% · raw 450% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 11:15:18 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
38%
ORYN Consensus
42%
Signal Score
+4.5
Opportunity
2.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,311,828
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 450.0¢
Entry: 34-40
—
Resolution
6h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between T1 and Karmine Corp in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for June 28 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 wins 3 or more games than Karmine Corp in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Karmine Corp". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors Karmine Corp (+2.5) over T1 (-2.5) in the LoL Upper bracket final match of the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, with a current probability of 37.50% for T1 winning by 3+ games. The resolution hinges on a significant margin of victory, making upsets or close series more likely to favor Karmine Corp.
T1's dominance in international LoL events, particularly their historical success in MSI and Worlds, suggests they could secure a 3+ game victory over Karmine Corp. Strong early-game leads or superior drafts could tilt the series decisively. If T1's players, such as Zeus or Faker, perform at peak levels, the handicap may be achievable.
Karmine Corp's recent form and adaptability in high-pressure matches make them a formidable opponent. A close series or upset victory would resolve this market in their favor. T1's potential complacency or strategic missteps could also lead to a non-handicap outcome. External factors like player fatigue or last-minute roster changes could further favor Karmine Corp.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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