Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Market could resolve 50-50 if game not played
Calibrated 100% · raw 4400% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/3/2026, 1:46:08 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 30% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
94%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
-44.0
Opportunity
13.2
Graph Relationships
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Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,505,203
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4400.0¢
Entry: 91-97
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
11 points
This market will resolve to "Odd" if the total combined kills by both teams in Game 2 is an odd number. This market will resolve to "Even" if the total combined kills by both teams in Game 2 is an even number. "Total combined kills" includes all champion kills recorded during the match by both Hanwha Life Esports and Team Secret Whales. Executions (deaths to non-champion sources such as turrets, minions, or neutral monsters where no enemy champion receives kill credit) do not count as kills for the purposes of this market. If no kills are recorded in Game 2, or if Game 2 is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This market bets on whether the total kills in Game 2 between Hanwha Life Esports and Team Secret Whales is odd or even. At 61.5%, the market favors odd, but historical kill distributions in LoL are essentially 50/50, making this a mispriced 50/50 bet.
Odd may be slightly favored due to first blood and the tendency for kill sequences to end on odd numbers. A blowout or fast game could limit total kills, increasing the chance of an odd final count.
Even is equally probable statistically, and the market at 61.5% overprices odd, offering value on even. The lack of strong predictive factors for odd/even makes the current probability unjustified.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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