Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: insufficient_match_history
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:22:05 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 24% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Junhan Zhang and Anna Snigireva in the ITF Maanshan, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Zhang vs. Snigireva total games over/under 23.5 is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to limited match data and neutral expectations for the ITF Maanshan event.
A bullish outcome (Over 23.5 games) could result if both players engage in aggressive baseline rallies or frequent net play, leading to longer sets with high break rates. Snigireva's historical performance in tight matches or Zhang's tendency to engage in extended rallies may also favor higher game totals.
A bearish outcome (Under 23.5 games) is plausible if either player dominates with powerful serves or quick winners, minimizing unforced errors and prolonging service holds. Weather conditions (e.g., extreme heat slowing play) or tactical defensive playstyles could also suppress game totals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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