Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 9910% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/2/2026, 7:30:29 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 35% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
100%
Signal Score
+99.1
Opportunity
98.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,734,054
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 9910.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Shiyu Ye and Ha Eum Lee in the ITF Maanshan, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Ye vs. Lee tennis match total games over/under 21.5 shows a near-certainty of the match concluding under 22 games, with a 99.55% implied probability for 'Under.' The low market probability suggests strong consensus on a short, decisive match.
A bullish outcome would require the match to exceed 21 games, likely due to high-intensity play, frequent tiebreaks, or an extended third set. Ye’s aggressive baseline play or Lee’s serve-and-volley style could prolong rallies, increasing the likelihood of a higher total.
The bearish scenario assumes a quick, efficient match with minimal games, possibly due to dominant serving games, straight-set wins, or a player dominating early. Ye’s consistent groundstrokes or Lee’s powerful serve could suppress total games below 22.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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