Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution thresholds
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:20:24 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,684,959
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Summer Yardley and Tasnim Ismail in the ITF Monastir, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in set 2 equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any tiebreak in set 2 counts as one (1) game toward the total. If set 2 is not completed for any reason (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Yardley vs. Ismail Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5 is currently at 50.00%, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear consensus on total games in set 2. The match outcome is highly uncertain due to limited historical data on both players.
Yardley, a higher-ranked player, may dominate with aggressive baseline play, leading to longer rallies and higher total games. Ismail's inconsistent form could further extend the set length, supporting an 'Over' resolution.
Both players may exhibit efficient serving and quick points, resulting in fewer total games. Yardley's recent injury history or Ismail's tactical adjustments could shorten the set, favoring an 'Under' resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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