Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days (50-50 resolution)
Calibrated 100% · raw 4995% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 8:31:11 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
-50.0
Opportunity
30.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4995.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
9
Price history
4 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Olle Wallin and Max Hans Rehberg in the ITF Brussels, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Wallin vs. Rehberg Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 is evenly split at 50%, reflecting balanced uncertainty in the first-set game total outcome. The neutral probability accounts for the lack of pre-match dominance signals or historical data in this ITF match.
A bullish outcome (9+ games) could result from a high-intensity match with aggressive baseline play or frequent net approaches, leading to extended rallies and high break-point conversions. Wallin or Rehberg's historical tendency for long sets (e.g., 6-4, 7-5) would support this scenario.
A bearish outcome (under 9 games) would likely occur in a short, one-sided set (e.g., 6-1 or 6-2) with few breaks of serve and minimal extended rallies. This could result from one player's dominant serve performance or the other's unforced error rate exceeding 15%.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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